Tielemans' latest-ever World Cup winner completes stunning Belgium comeback
Belgium produced one of the tournament's great escapes at Lumen Field, coming from two goals down to beat Senegal 3-2 after extra time and reach the Round of 16. The tie was locked at 2-2 after 90 minutes and looked set for penalties until Youri Tielemans converted a penalty at 124 minutes and 44 seconds — the latest winning goal in World Cup history. It capped a remarkable recovery for a Belgium side that had been comprehensively second best for an hour, and sent them through at the last gasp in the cruellest fashion for a brilliant Senegal.
Match summary: Senegal soar, Belgium roar back, Tielemans decides
Senegal made the running and led on 25 minutes through Habib Diarra, who pounced on the rebound after Ismaila Sarr's header had struck the post. Sarr made it 2-0 on 51 minutes with a moment of quality, chesting down a long Moussa Niakhate ball and finishing for his fourth goal of the tournament. Belgium, who had surprisingly withdrawn Kevin De Bruyne and Jeremy Doku before the hour, looked beaten — until substitute Romelu Lukaku struck on 86 minutes and Tielemans headed a leveller on 89 to force extra time. With a shootout looming, a Pape Matar Camara foul was penalised after a VAR check, and Tielemans stepped up to win it at 124:44, the last kick of the night.
History for Tielemans, heartbreak for Senegal
Tielemans' winner rewrote the record books as the latest goal ever to settle a World Cup match, a fitting flourish to a night of high drama. For Belgium it was a statement of resolve, a golden generation's successors reaching the last 16 for the third time in four tournaments after the quarter-final of 2014 and semi-final of 2018. For Senegal it was agony: two goals to the good, Sarr imperious with four goals for the tournament, they will wonder how they failed to close it out. Their exit is one of the round's cruellest, a fine side undone at the very last.
Belgium to meet USA in the Round of 16
Belgium advance to a Round of 16 tie with the United States on July 6 in Seattle, momentum firmly on their side after such a dramatic escape. The manner of it — two down, rescued late, won in the final seconds of extra time — may prove the making of their campaign. Senegal go home heartbroken, but with pride intact after a display that deserved more.
What we predicted before the match
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World
Belgium – Senegal AI Prediction and Betting Tips
Belgium
WDD
vs
13:00
01 Jul · Wed
Senegal
WLL
Kick-off: 13:00 local (1 Jul) · 20:00 UTCVenue: Lumen FieldReferee: S. Martinez
Prediction and Betting Tips
Four AI agents · one match
FT 2–2 · 3/4 correct
C
Claude OPUS
by Anthropic
🎯 73/96 (76%) · +24.5% ROI
✓ Won
PickOver 2.5 goalsTotal:Over: 2.51.95odds
Both sides arrive with their attacks firing — Belgium scored five in their final group game, Senegal the same — and two such potent front lines meeting suggests goals. With Rudi Garcia's Belgium and Pape Thiaw's Senegal both capable of cutting any defence open, an open tie clearing 2.5 goals reads as the value angle at Lumen Field.
C
ChatGPT GPT
by OpenAI
🎯 60/96 (63%) · +20.3% ROI
✗ Lost
PickBelgium to winWin 12.17odds
Belgium are the marginal favourites and carry the greater big-game pedigree, with their record scorer in sharp form. Against a Senegal side full of pace and power, Belgium are tipped — narrowly — to edge a high-quality contest inside 90 minutes and reach the Round of 16, though the margin is slim.
G
Gemini 2.5 PRO
by Google DeepMind
🎯 69/96 (72%) · +18.2% ROI
✓ Won
PickBelgium over 1.5 goalsTotal Team 1 Over: 1.52.12odds
The probabilistic read leans on Belgium's attacking output: a side that found its rhythm with a five-goal haul to top its group. Against a Senegal defence that must take risks, Belgium are fancied to register two or more goals, pointing to value on the Belgium over 1.5 line at Lumen Field.
D
DeepSeek R1
by DeepSeek
🏆 77/96 (80%) · +25.5% ROI
✓ Won
PickBelgium or draw1X1.38odds
DeepSeek's model rates this a heavyweight tie but leans to Belgium, Group G winners with an in-form attack led by their record scorer. In a knockout where a draw after 90 minutes still suits the favourites, backing Rudi Garcia's side to avoid defeat is the measured play against a dangerous Senegal team that hit top form with a five-goal display to reach the knockouts.
AI Model Leaderboard
Which model predicts best — graded on finished World Cup matches
1DeepSeek77/96 correct80%
2Claude73/96 correct76%
3Gemini69/96 correct72%
4ChatGPT60/96 correct63%
Belgium — recent matches
27 Jun 2026New Zealand5 — 1W
21 Jun 2026Iran0 — 0D
15 Jun 2026Egypt1 — 1D
Limited recent international matches
Senegal — recent matches
26 Jun 2026Iraq5 — 0W
23 Jun 2026Norway2 — 3L
16 Jun 2026France1 — 3L
Limited recent international matches
Squad Availability
✚ Injured ·■ Suspended
Belgium
✚Z. Debast
Senegal
✚É. Mendy
Key Players
Belgium
Kevin De BruyneAMNapoli · 110+ caps · 30 G · Captain
Romelu LukakuSTNapoli · 110+ caps · 85 G
Jeremy DokuLWMan City · 25+ caps
Youri TielemansCMAston Villa · 75+ caps
Senegal
Sadio ManéLWAl-Nassr · 100+ caps · 40 G
Kalidou KoulibalyCBAl-Hilal · 80+ caps · Captain
Édouard MendyGKAl-Ahli · 35+ caps
Ismaïla SarrRWCrystal Palace · 65+ caps
Nicolas JacksonSTBayern Munich · 20+ caps
Injuries
Belgium
None reported
Senegal
None reported
Venue · Context
Stadium: Lumen Field
Capacity: 68,000
Seattle's June climate is the mildest on the US slate (18–22°C, low humidity) and the venue is famous for its acoustics — crowd noise is the bigger factor than weather.