✨ Perfect prediction — all 4 models called it right
ClaudeFrance to win✓ CORRECT
ChatGPTUnder 2.5 goals✓ CORRECT
GeminiMorocco under 1.5 goals✓ CORRECT
DeepSeekFrance or draw✓ CORRECT
France ease past Morocco to reach the semi-finals in a 2022 rematch
France booked their place in the semi-finals with a controlled 2-0 win over Morocco at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, goals from Kylian Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele settling a repeat of the 2022 semi-final. Just as they did in Qatar, Les Bleus denied Morocco by the same 2-0 scoreline, ending the Atlas Lions' bid for revenge and their historic run in the tournament. France remain unbeaten and, in the eyes of many analysts, the favourites to lift the trophy.
Match summary: Mbappe and Dembele see France home
France were the more incisive side throughout and took the lead through Mbappe, the captain finishing clinically to move level with Lionel Messi at the top of the Golden Boot race. Morocco responded with the courage that has defined their tournament, pressing for a way back into the tie, but France's defence held firm and their midfield controlled the tempo. Dembele added the second to kill the contest, capping a polished attacking display. Morocco pushed until the final whistle but could not find the breakthrough their effort deserved, and France saw the game out with the composure of a side that has been here many times before.
Golden Boot race and a familiar last-four stage
Mbappe's goal was the story within the story: he is now tied with Messi at the summit of the scoring charts, the two greats trading blows for the tournament's individual prize. For France, this is another appearance among the last four in recent tournaments, underlining their status as the modern era's most consistent force. For Morocco, defeat ends a remarkable campaign — the first African nation to reach back-to-back World Cup quarter-finals — and though they leave without the win they craved against the side that knocked them out in 2022, their progress marks another milestone for African football.
What's next: a blockbuster with Spain
France advance to a semi-final against Spain on July 14 at AT&T Stadium in Dallas, a meeting of two unbeaten heavyweights and, for many, the tie of the tournament. All four of our AI models called this one correctly — a perfect night for the panel, led by the DeepSeek double chance. Morocco go home to a hero's welcome, their status as a genuine force on the world stage confirmed once more.
France have the individual quality, led by Mbappe, to edge a Morocco side that defends superbly. In a repeat of their 2022 semi-final win, Claude's read backs Didier Deschamps's men to control the key moments and win inside 90 minutes to reach the last four.
C
ChatGPT GPT
by OpenAI
🎯 63/102 (62%) · +12.7% ROI
✓ Won
PickUnder 2.5 goalsTotal:Under: 2.51.86odds
A quarter-final between a cautious France and a resolute Morocco points to a tight, low-scoring affair. With both sides wary of overcommitting, under 2.5 goals reads as the value angle.
G
Gemini 2.5 PRO
by Google DeepMind
🎯 74/102 (73%) · +9.4% ROI
✓ Won
PickMorocco under 1.5 goalsTotal Team 2 Under: 1.51.18odds
Morocco have advanced on organisation and moments rather than heavy scoring, and against France's quality they are likely to be limited. Gemini's model points to under 1.5 goals for the Atlas Lions.
D
DeepSeek R1
by DeepSeek
🏆 82/102 (80%) · +15.9% ROI
✓ Won
PickFrance or draw1X1.20odds
DeepSeek's model makes France favourites in a repeat of the 2022 semi-final, which they won 2-0. Les Bleus carry Kylian Mbappe's Golden Boot-chasing form and formidable depth, though they laboured past Paraguay. Morocco, the first African side to reach back-to-back quarter-finals, are organised, confident and dangerous under Mohamed Ouahbi. With a draw heading to extra time, backing France to avoid a 90-minute defeat is the measured call.
AI Model Leaderboard
Which model predicts best — graded on finished World Cup matches
1DeepSeek82/102 correct80%
2Claude76/102 correct75%
3Gemini74/102 correct73%
4ChatGPT63/102 correct62%
France — recent matches
04 Jul 2026Paraguay1 — 0W
30 Jun 2026Sweden3 — 0W
26 Jun 2026Norway4 — 1W
22 Jun 2026Iraq3 — 0W
16 Jun 2026Senegal3 — 1W
Morocco — recent matches
04 Jul 2026Canada3 — 0W
30 Jun 2026Netherlands1 — 1D
24 Jun 2026Haiti4 — 2W
19 Jun 2026Scotland1 — 0W
13 Jun 2026Brazil1 — 1D
14.12.2022FrancevsMorocco2 — 0
Squad Availability
✚ Injured ·■ Suspended
France
No reported absences
Morocco
✚I. Saibari
Key Players
France
Kylian MbappéSTReal Madrid · 85+ caps · 51 G · Captain
Antoine GriezmannAMAtlético · 135+ caps · 44 G
Aurélien TchouaméniCDMReal Madrid · 35+ caps
Ousmane DembéléRWPSG · 50+ caps · 6 G
William SalibaCBArsenal · 20+ caps
Morocco
Achraf HakimiRBPSG · 80+ caps · 11 G
Hakim ZiyechAMAl-Duhail · 60+ caps
Sofyan AmrabatCDMFiorentina · 60+ caps
Youssef En-NesyriSTFenerbahçe · 75+ caps · 25 G
Romain SaïssCBDamac · 70+ caps · Captain
Injuries
France
None reported
Morocco
None reported
Venue · Context
Stadium: Gillette Stadium
Capacity: 65,000
An open-air New England venue where mid-June is mild to warm (20–26°C); weather is unlikely to be a major factor barring rain.