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Norway 11 England
11 Jul · Sat · Hard Rock Stadium

AI Accuracy Review

3/4 models correct
Claude Under 2.5 goals ✓ CORRECT
ChatGPT England to win ✗ INCORRECT
Gemini Norway under 1.5 goals ✓ CORRECT
DeepSeek England or draw ✓ CORRECT

Bellingham's extra-time brace fires England into the semi-finals

Jude Bellingham dragged England into the semi-finals with both goals in a 2-1 extra-time win over Norway at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami. The 23-year-old equalised on the stroke of half-time after Andreas Schjelderup's brilliant opener had put the surprise package in front, then struck the winner in extra time to settle a gripping quarter-final. Level at 1-1 after 90 minutes, England needed their talisman at his very best to keep alive their dream of a first world title since 1966.

Match summary: Schjelderup stuns, Bellingham responds and wins it

Norway made the brighter start and led on around 25 minutes through Schjelderup, whose superb strike rewarded a fearless Norwegian display. England laboured to find rhythm but drew level right before the interval, Bellingham slicing through the defence with a nifty finish to make it 1-1 at the break. The second half and the opening period of extra time were tense and cagey, both sides carrying a threat, before Bellingham settled it in extra time — completing his brace and sparking English celebrations. Norway, who had knocked out Brazil on their remarkable run, pushed to the last but fell just short.

A wunderkind's night and the end of Norway's fairytale

This was Bellingham's stage. At 23 he is already the driving force of this England side, and his two goals — one on the stroke of half-time, one in extra time — carried them through when they most needed it. England's hopes of ending 60 years of hurt since 1966 burn brighter than ever. For Norway it is the end of a fairytale: a side that had beaten Brazil and announced itself as one of the tournament's great stories bows out, and with it comes the close of another chapter in Erling Haaland's pursuit of the Golden Boot, the striker left just behind the leaders as his nation's run ends.

What's next: England meet Argentina in Atlanta

England advance to a semi-final against Argentina on July 15 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, a heavyweight collision laden with history. Three of our four AI models called it: with the tie level after 90 minutes, the DeepSeek double chance on England landed, as did the under 2.5 and Norway under 1.5 calls; only the outright England win missed as the match went to extra time. Norway depart with heads high after one of the campaigns of the tournament.

What we predicted before the match
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

Norway – England AI Prediction and Betting Tips

Norway
W W L W W
vs
17:00
11 Jul · Sat
England
W W W D W
Kick-off: 17:00 local (11 Jul) · 21:00 UTC Venue: Hard Rock Stadium Referee: TBA
Prediction and Betting Tips

Four AI agents · one match

FT 1–1 · 3/4 correct
Claude OPUS
by Anthropic
🎯 76/102 (75%) · +17.0% ROI
✓ Won
Pick Under 2.5 goals Total:Under: 2.5 2.10odds
A quarter-final with England focused on nullifying Haaland while Norway pick their moments could tighten up considerably. Both sides have reason for caution with a semi-final at stake, pointing to a potentially low-scoring tie — under 2.5 goals reads as the value angle.
ChatGPT GPT
by OpenAI
🎯 63/102 (62%) · +12.7% ROI
✗ Lost
Pick England to win Win 2 1.93odds
England's depth and big-game experience give them the edge over a Norway side heavily reliant on Haaland's brilliance. ChatGPT's read backs Tuchel's men to control the tie and win inside 90 minutes to reach the semi-finals.
Gemini 2.5 PRO
by Google DeepMind
🎯 74/102 (73%) · +9.4% ROI
✓ Won
Pick Norway under 1.5 goals Total Team 1 Under: 1.5 1.41odds
Norway's threat is concentrated in Haaland, and if England's defence limits his supply they can keep Norway's output down. Gemini's model points to under 1.5 goals for the hosts of this tie.
DeepSeek R1
by DeepSeek
🏆 82/102 (80%) · +15.9% ROI
✓ Won
Pick England or draw X2 1.27odds
DeepSeek's model gives England a narrow edge, but with a caveat named Erling Haaland. England, under Thomas Tuchel, reached a third straight quarter-final with a 3-2 win over Mexico and carry Harry Kane in record-breaking form. Norway, roared on and buoyed by Haaland's brace that stunned Brazil to reach a first-ever quarter-final, will fear no one at home billing. Containing Haaland is the key; with a draw heading to extra time, backing England to avoid a 90-minute defeat is the measured call.

AI Model Leaderboard

Which model predicts best — graded on finished World Cup matches
  1. 1 DeepSeek 82/102 correct 80%
  2. 2 Claude 76/102 correct 75%
  3. 3 Gemini 74/102 correct 73%
  4. 4 ChatGPT 63/102 correct 62%
Norway — recent matches
05 Jul 2026 Brazil 2 — 1 W
30 Jun 2026 Ivory Coast 2 — 1 W
26 Jun 2026 France 1 — 4 L
23 Jun 2026 Senegal 3 — 2 W
16 Jun 2026 Iraq 4 — 1 W
England — recent matches
06 Jul 2026 Mexico 3 — 2 W
01 Jul 2026 Congo DR 2 — 1 W
27 Jun 2026 Panama 2 — 0 W
23 Jun 2026 Ghana 0 — 0 D
17 Jun 2026 Croatia 4 — 2 W

Squad Availability

Injured · Suspended

Norway

M. Pedersen

England

J. Henderson
J. Quansah

Key Players

Norway
Erling Haaland ST Man City · 35+ caps · 35 G
Martin Ødegaard AM Arsenal · 45+ caps · Captain
Alexander Sørloth ST Atlético · 50+ caps · 14 G
Antonio Nusa LW Leipzig · 15+ caps
England
Harry Kane ST Bayern · 100+ caps · 70+ G · Captain
Jude Bellingham AM Real Madrid · 40+ caps · 7 G
Bukayo Saka RW Arsenal · 45+ caps · 13 G
Phil Foden AM Man City · 40+ caps · 5 G
Declan Rice CDM Arsenal · 65+ caps

Injuries

Norway
None reported
England
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: Hard Rock Stadium
Capacity: 65,000
Miami Gardens in June is hot and very humid (30–33°C) with frequent afternoon thunderstorms; the sapping humidity is a documented late-game stamina factor under the open canopy.

Suspensions

Norway
None reported
England
None reported

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