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Canada 03 Morocco
04 Jul · Sat · NRG Stadium, Houston

AI Accuracy Review

3/4 models correct
Claude Under 2.5 goals ✗ INCORRECT
ChatGPT Morocco to win ✓ CORRECT
Gemini Canada under 1.5 goals ✓ CORRECT
DeepSeek Morocco or draw ✓ CORRECT

Morocco make history with commanding win over hosts Canada

Morocco produced a superb display to beat co-hosts Canada 3-0 at NRG Stadium and reach the quarter-finals, becoming the first African nation to reach back-to-back World Cup last-eight stages after their run to the semi-finals in 2022. Azzedine Ounahi was at the heart of everything good, orchestrating a dazzling performance as Mohamed Ouahbi's side swept aside a Canada team that becomes the first host eliminated from the tournament.

Match summary: Morocco in control

Morocco were dominant from start to finish, running out 3-0 winners with a display of quality and control. Ounahi's creativity in midfield unlocked Canada repeatedly, and Morocco's three unanswered goals reflected their superiority across the pitch. Canada, roared on by a home crowd, had no answer to the Atlas Lions' movement and precision, and the tie was effectively over long before the finish.

African history, a host eliminated

The result carries real historic weight: no African side had ever reached consecutive World Cup quarter-finals until now, and Morocco's rise since 2022 shows no sign of slowing. For Canada, co-hosts of the tournament, elimination is a bitter blow — the first of the three host nations to go out — and a chastening lesson for Jesse Marsch's developing side against opponents operating at a higher level.

A 2022 semi-final rematch awaits: Morocco vs France

Morocco advance to a mouthwatering quarter-final against France — a rematch of their 2022 semi-final, which France won 2-0. The Atlas Lions will relish the chance at revenge on the biggest stage. Canada's tournament ends, but Morocco march on, carrying the hopes of a continent.

What we predicted before the match
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

Canada – Morocco AI Prediction and Betting Tips

Canada
W L W D
vs
12:00
04 Jul · Sat
Morocco
D W W D
Kick-off: 12:00 local (4 Jul) · 17:00 UTC Venue: NRG Stadium, Houston Referee: Michael Oliver, England
Prediction and Betting Tips

Four AI agents · one match

FT 0–3 · 3/4 correct
Claude OPUS
by Anthropic
🎯 73/96 (76%) · +24.5% ROI
✗ Lost
Pick Under 2.5 goals Total:Under: 2.5 1.69odds
Two well-organised sides meeting in the knockouts often produces caution, and Morocco's disciplined, defence-first identity points that way. With Canada wary in unfamiliar territory and a Round of 16 place plus extra time in the balance, a contained, low-scoring contest under 2.5 goals reads as the editorial value angle at NRG Stadium.
ChatGPT GPT
by OpenAI
🎯 60/96 (63%) · +20.3% ROI
✓ Won
Pick Morocco to win Win 2 1.82odds
Morocco are the market favourites and carry the experience of a deep 2022 run, with the quality to break down a resolute opponent. Against a Canada side high on belief but new to this stage, Mohamed Ouahbi's Morocco are tipped to edge it inside 90 minutes and continue their knockout journey.
Gemini 2.5 PRO
by Google DeepMind
🎯 69/96 (72%) · +18.2% ROI
✓ Won
Pick Canada under 1.5 goals Total Team 1 Under: 1.5 1.21odds
The probabilistic read focuses on Canada's likely caution against accomplished opposition: a side that advanced on a single goal and defensive resilience. Facing an organised Morocco back line, Canada are likelier to keep it tight than to score freely, pointing to a return under 1.5 goals for Jesse Marsch's men.
DeepSeek R1
by DeepSeek
🏆 77/96 (80%) · +25.5% ROI
✓ Won
Pick Morocco or draw X2 1.24odds
DeepSeek's model leans to Morocco, the 2022 semi-finalists who eliminated the Netherlands on penalties and carry the greater big-game pedigree. In a Round of 16 tie where a draw after 90 minutes still routes the favourites to extra time, backing Mohamed Ouahbi's side to avoid defeat is the measured play against a Canada team reaching this stage for the first time.

AI Model Leaderboard

Which model predicts best — graded on finished World Cup matches
  1. 1 DeepSeek 77/96 correct 80%
  2. 2 Claude 73/96 correct 76%
  3. 3 Gemini 69/96 correct 72%
  4. 4 ChatGPT 60/96 correct 63%
Canada — recent matches
28 Jun 2026 South Africa 1 — 0 W
24 Jun 2026 Switzerland 1 — 2 L
18 Jun 2026 Qatar 6 — 0 W
12 Jun 2026 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1 — 1 D
Limited recent international matches
Morocco — recent matches
30 Jun 2026 Netherlands 1 — 1 D
24 Jun 2026 Haiti 4 — 2 W
19 Jun 2026 Scotland 1 — 0 W
13 Jun 2026 Brazil 1 — 1 D
Limited recent international matches
01.12.2022 Canada vs Morocco 1 — 2

Squad Availability

Injured · Suspended

Canada

I. Koné

Morocco

No reported absences

Key Players

Canada
Jonathan David ST Juventus · 55+ caps · 30 G
Stephen Eustáquio CM Porto · 35+ caps · Captain
Cyle Larin ST Canada all-time top scorer · 75+ caps
Tajon Buchanan RW Inter Milan · 30+ caps
Morocco
Achraf Hakimi RB PSG · 80+ caps · 11 G
Hakim Ziyech AM Al-Duhail · 60+ caps
Sofyan Amrabat CDM Fiorentina · 60+ caps
Youssef En-Nesyri ST Fenerbahçe · 75+ caps · 25 G
Romain Saïss CB Damac · 70+ caps · Captain

Injuries

Canada
Alphonso Davies Hamstring Out (season)
Morocco
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: NRG Stadium, Houston
Capacity: 72,000
Houston's retractable roof and air-conditioning offset extreme Gulf-coast heat and humidity (33°C+); with the roof closed, conditions are controlled and quick.

Suspensions

Canada
None reported
Morocco
None reported

Team’s other matches

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