Morocco make history with commanding win over hosts Canada
Morocco produced a superb display to beat co-hosts Canada 3-0 at NRG Stadium and reach the quarter-finals, becoming the first African nation to reach back-to-back World Cup last-eight stages after their run to the semi-finals in 2022. Azzedine Ounahi was at the heart of everything good, orchestrating a dazzling performance as Mohamed Ouahbi's side swept aside a Canada team that becomes the first host eliminated from the tournament.
Match summary: Morocco in control
Morocco were dominant from start to finish, running out 3-0 winners with a display of quality and control. Ounahi's creativity in midfield unlocked Canada repeatedly, and Morocco's three unanswered goals reflected their superiority across the pitch. Canada, roared on by a home crowd, had no answer to the Atlas Lions' movement and precision, and the tie was effectively over long before the finish.
African history, a host eliminated
The result carries real historic weight: no African side had ever reached consecutive World Cup quarter-finals until now, and Morocco's rise since 2022 shows no sign of slowing. For Canada, co-hosts of the tournament, elimination is a bitter blow — the first of the three host nations to go out — and a chastening lesson for Jesse Marsch's developing side against opponents operating at a higher level.
A 2022 semi-final rematch awaits: Morocco vs France
Morocco advance to a mouthwatering quarter-final against France — a rematch of their 2022 semi-final, which France won 2-0. The Atlas Lions will relish the chance at revenge on the biggest stage. Canada's tournament ends, but Morocco march on, carrying the hopes of a continent.
What we predicted before the match
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World
Canada – Morocco AI Prediction and Betting Tips
Canada
WLWD
vs
12:00
04 Jul · Sat
Morocco
DWWD
Kick-off: 12:00 local (4 Jul) · 17:00 UTCVenue: NRG Stadium, HoustonReferee: Michael Oliver, England
Prediction and Betting Tips
Four AI agents · one match
FT 0–3 · 3/4 correct
C
Claude OPUS
by Anthropic
🎯 73/96 (76%) · +24.5% ROI
✗ Lost
PickUnder 2.5 goalsTotal:Under: 2.51.69odds
Two well-organised sides meeting in the knockouts often produces caution, and Morocco's disciplined, defence-first identity points that way. With Canada wary in unfamiliar territory and a Round of 16 place plus extra time in the balance, a contained, low-scoring contest under 2.5 goals reads as the editorial value angle at NRG Stadium.
C
ChatGPT GPT
by OpenAI
🎯 60/96 (63%) · +20.3% ROI
✓ Won
PickMorocco to winWin 21.82odds
Morocco are the market favourites and carry the experience of a deep 2022 run, with the quality to break down a resolute opponent. Against a Canada side high on belief but new to this stage, Mohamed Ouahbi's Morocco are tipped to edge it inside 90 minutes and continue their knockout journey.
G
Gemini 2.5 PRO
by Google DeepMind
🎯 69/96 (72%) · +18.2% ROI
✓ Won
PickCanada under 1.5 goalsTotal Team 1 Under: 1.51.21odds
The probabilistic read focuses on Canada's likely caution against accomplished opposition: a side that advanced on a single goal and defensive resilience. Facing an organised Morocco back line, Canada are likelier to keep it tight than to score freely, pointing to a return under 1.5 goals for Jesse Marsch's men.
D
DeepSeek R1
by DeepSeek
🏆 77/96 (80%) · +25.5% ROI
✓ Won
PickMorocco or drawX21.24odds
DeepSeek's model leans to Morocco, the 2022 semi-finalists who eliminated the Netherlands on penalties and carry the greater big-game pedigree. In a Round of 16 tie where a draw after 90 minutes still routes the favourites to extra time, backing Mohamed Ouahbi's side to avoid defeat is the measured play against a Canada team reaching this stage for the first time.
AI Model Leaderboard
Which model predicts best — graded on finished World Cup matches
1DeepSeek77/96 correct80%
2Claude73/96 correct76%
3Gemini69/96 correct72%
4ChatGPT60/96 correct63%
Canada — recent matches
28 Jun 2026South Africa1 — 0W
24 Jun 2026Switzerland1 — 2L
18 Jun 2026Qatar6 — 0W
12 Jun 2026Bosnia & Herzegovina1 — 1D
Limited recent international matches
Morocco — recent matches
30 Jun 2026Netherlands1 — 1D
24 Jun 2026Haiti4 — 2W
19 Jun 2026Scotland1 — 0W
13 Jun 2026Brazil1 — 1D
Limited recent international matches
01.12.2022CanadavsMorocco1 — 2
Squad Availability
✚ Injured ·■ Suspended
Canada
✚I. Koné
Morocco
No reported absences
Key Players
Canada
Jonathan DavidSTJuventus · 55+ caps · 30 G
Stephen EustáquioCMPorto · 35+ caps · Captain
Cyle LarinSTCanada all-time top scorer · 75+ caps
Tajon BuchananRWInter Milan · 30+ caps
Morocco
Achraf HakimiRBPSG · 80+ caps · 11 G
Hakim ZiyechAMAl-Duhail · 60+ caps
Sofyan AmrabatCDMFiorentina · 60+ caps
Youssef En-NesyriSTFenerbahçe · 75+ caps · 25 G
Romain SaïssCBDamac · 70+ caps · Captain
Injuries
Canada
Alphonso DaviesHamstringOut (season)
Morocco
None reported
Venue · Context
Stadium: NRG Stadium, Houston
Capacity: 72,000
Houston's retractable roof and air-conditioning offset extreme Gulf-coast heat and humidity (33°C+); with the roof closed, conditions are controlled and quick.