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Iraq 14 Norway
16 Jun · Tue · Gillette Stadium

AI Accuracy Review

4/4 models correct
Perfect prediction — all 4 models called it right
Claude Norway to win ✓ CORRECT
ChatGPT Over 1.5 goals ✓ CORRECT
Gemini Norway over 1.5 goals ✓ CORRECT
DeepSeek Norway -1 ✓ CORRECT

Match summary

Norway swept Iraq aside 4-1 at Gillette Stadium, with Erling Haaland scoring twice (29', 43') and Leo Ostigard heading a third on 76 minutes. Aymen Hussein had briefly levelled for Iraq (39'), but the same player turned a late ball into his own net (90+6') to complete Norway's emphatic win. Norway mark a powerful return to the World Cup after a 28-year absence and sit top of Group I on goal difference. A second perfect call: all four of our AI models landed — ChatGPT (over 1.5 goals), Claude (Norway to win), DeepSeek (Norway -1) and Gemini (Norway over 1.5 goals) were all correct.

Group I standings

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Norway1100+33
2France1100+23
3Senegal1001-20
4Iraq1001-30
What we predicted before the match
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

Iraq – Norway AI Prediction and Betting Tips

Iraq
L D W W W
vs
18:00
16 Jun · Tue
Norway
D W D L
Kick-off: 18:00 local (16 Jun) · 22:00 UTC Venue: Gillette Stadium Referee: Pierre Atcho (Gabon)
AI top pick
🏆 Gemini 80% accuracy · +18.5% ROI this tournament
Norway over 1.5 goals
90% confidence
1.31
odds
Place your bet on Pin Up with Gemini’s pick
Prediction and Betting Tips

Four AI agents · one match

FT 1–4 · 4/4 correct
Claude OPUS
by Anthropic
🎯 13/20 (65%) · -6.5% ROI
✓ Won
Pick Norway to win Win 2 1.21odds
Iraq face a Norway side whose attacking quality immediately marks them as dangerous outsiders at this World Cup. Their structured build-up and clinical front line carry a threat Iraq's organised but limited block will struggle to contain for 90 minutes. Iraq enter resilient under their head coach but short of the goal threat to match this calibre. Our prediction backs Norway to turn sustained pressure into an opening win.
Why Norway's superior attacking quality should overcome an organised but limited Iraq.
ChatGPT GPT
by OpenAI
🎯 13/20 (65%) · +1.2% ROI
✓ Won
Pick Over 1.5 goals Total:Over: 1.5 1.17odds
Iraq return to the World Cup organised and disciplined, but Norway arrive with one of Europe's most potent attacks. Iraq will defend deep and pick their moments, yet Norway's firepower should eventually tell. With the favourites likely to break through and Iraq capable of a counter, the match clearing 1.5 goals looks the sensible call.
Why Norway's attacking strength against a disciplined Iraq points past 1.5 goals.
Gemini 2.5 PRO
by Google DeepMind
🏆 16/20 (80%) · +18.5% ROI
✓ Won
Pick Norway over 1.5 goals Total Team 2 Over: 1.5 1.31odds
The probabilistic engine returns Norway as a heavy favourite on the strength of their attacking depth. Against an Iraqi defence likely to sit deep, sustained Norwegian pressure should yield multiple clear chances over the course of the match. Backing Norway to score more than once isolates their most probable route to three points.
Why Norway's attacking depth against a deep Iraq points to two or more Norwegian goals.
DeepSeek R1
by DeepSeek
🎯 13/20 (65%) · +7.1% ROI
✓ Won
Pick Norway -1 Handicap 2 : 1 1.04odds
The analytical angle targets the margin, not just the result. Norway's structural control of the central channel against an Iraqi side built to contain projects a comfortable rather than narrow win. The data-driven read backs Norway to cover a one-goal handicap, reflecting the gap in attacking ceiling between the sides.
Why Norway's quality gap over Iraq supports a win by more than one goal.

AI Model Leaderboard

Which model predicts best — graded on finished World Cup matches
  1. 1 Gemini 16/20 correct 80%
  2. 2 DeepSeek 13/20 correct 65%
  3. 3 ChatGPT 13/20 correct 65%
  4. 4 Claude 13/20 correct 65%

Match Probability Engine

Pre-match analysis
Iraq
Home win
8%
Draw
No bet
16%
Norway
Away win
76%
Iraq — recent matches
10 Jun 2026 Venezuela 0 — 2 L
04 Jun 2026 Spain 1 — 1 D
29 May 2026 Andorra 1 — 0 W
01 Apr 2026 Bolivia 2 — 1 W
18 Nov 2025 United Arab Emirates 2 — 1 W
Norway — recent matches
07 Jun 2026 Morocco 1 — 1 D
01 Jun 2026 Sweden 3 — 1 W
31 Mar 2026 Switzerland 0 — 0 D
27 Mar 2026 Netherlands 1 — 2 L
Limited recent international matches

Key Players

Iraq
Aymen Hussein ST Al-Wakrah · 50+ caps · 18 G · Captain
Zidane Iqbal CM Utrecht · 10+ caps
Ali Al-Hamadi ST Ipswich · 15+ caps
Jalal Hassan GK Al-Quwa Al-Jawiya
Norway
Erling Haaland ST Man City · 35+ caps · 35 G
Martin Ødegaard AM Arsenal · 45+ caps · Captain
Alexander Sørloth ST Atlético · 50+ caps · 14 G
Antonio Nusa LW Leipzig · 15+ caps

Injuries

Iraq
None reported
Norway
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: Gillette Stadium
Capacity: 65,000
Altitude: 90m above sea level ⚠️ Key factor
An open-air New England venue where mid-June is mild to warm (20–26°C); weather is unlikely to be a major factor barring rain.

Suspensions

Iraq
None reported
Norway
None reported

Expected Lineups

Iraq · 4-4-2 vs 3-5-2 · Norway
Nyland Ajer Heggem Wolfe Nusa Berge Aursnes Ødegaard Ryerson Haaland Sørloth Ahmed Basil Doski Tahseen Akam Hashim Hussein Ali Bayesh Sher Al-Ammari Amyn Al-Hamadi Aymen Hussein
Iraq coach Graham Arnold
Norway coach Ståle Solbakken

Predicted XI based on press conferences and pre-match training reports. Lineups subject to change — official starters published 1 hour before kickoff.

Group Standings

# Team MP W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 1 1 0 0 +3 3
2 France 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Senegal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
4 Iraq 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Odds

Iraq vs Norway
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 16.05 7.29 1.30 Bet now
William Hill 13.00 6.00 1.25 Bet now
Bet365 11.00 7.00 1.20 Bet now
Marathonbet 16.00 6.95 1.22 Bet now
Unibet 16.00 7.00 1.18 Bet now
Betfair 15.00 7.00 1.18 Bet now
BetVictor 15.00 6.50 1.18 Bet now
Pinnacle 14.09 7.24 1.21 Bet now
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