Main pick ROI
Full-time
Egypt 11 Iran
26 Jun · Fri · Lumen Field

AI Accuracy Review

4/4 models correct
Perfect prediction — all 4 models called it right
Claude Egypt or draw ✓ CORRECT
ChatGPT Under 2.5 goals ✓ CORRECT
Gemini Iran under 1.5 goals ✓ CORRECT
DeepSeek Egypt to score ✓ CORRECT

VAR drama as Egypt and Iran share the spoils

Egypt and Iran played out a dramatic 1-1 draw at Lumen Field in Seattle, a result shaped by a late VAR intervention that denied Iran a winner and sent both sides into the final group calculations. In a tense, finely-balanced contest, Egypt's opener was cancelled out by an Iran equaliser, and the decisive late twist came when an Iran strike was ruled out after a video review for an infringement in the build-up. The point ensured Egypt advanced from Group G, while Iran were left to rue the margins as their late winner was chalked off in agonising fashion.

Match summary: Egypt lead, Iran respond, VAR has the final word

Egypt looked to have taken control when they opened the scoring, only for Iran to respond and level a contest that ebbed and flowed with genuine tension. The drama peaked deep in stoppage time when Iran thought they had snatched all three points through Khalilzadeh, whose finish sparked wild celebrations — but the goal was overturned by VAR for an offence in the build-up, a gut-wrenching moment for Amir Ghalenoei's side. Egypt held on for the draw they needed, weathering a nervous finish to secure their place in the knockout rounds and underlining the resilience that has defined their campaign.

Fine margins and a cruel finish for Iran

For Egypt, the abiding theme was composure under pressure: the Pharaohs absorbed a late onslaught and benefited from a marginal VAR call to take the point that mattered in the wider context of qualification. Their campaign has been built on organisation and resilience, and here they showed the nerve to see out a fraught finale. Iran will feel hard done by — a disallowed winner is a cruel way to see a contest decided — but the broader picture is of a tight, well-organised side undone by the finest of margins on a tense Seattle night.

Group G settled: Belgium top, Egypt through in second

The draw confirmed Egypt's progress, though the final shape of Group G saw Belgium top the section on five points with a plus-four goal difference after their thrashing of New Zealand, with Egypt second, also on five points but a plus-two goal difference. Iran finished third on three points with a level goal difference, leaving them in best-third-placed contention, while New Zealand ended bottom and are out. Egypt advance to the Round of 32 with their nerve intact, a side few will relish facing in the knockouts.

What we predicted before the match
🌍 FIFA World Cup · World

Egypt – Iran AI Prediction and Betting Tips

Egypt
W D
vs
20:00
26 Jun · Fri
Iran
D D
Kick-off: 20:00 local (26 Jun) · 03:00 UTC Venue: Lumen Field Referee: S. Marciniak
Prediction and Betting Tips

Four AI agents · one match

FT 1–1 · 4/4 correct
Claude OPUS
by Anthropic
🎯 73/96 (76%) · +24.5% ROI
✓ Won
Pick Egypt or draw 1X 1.30odds
Egypt need only a draw to reach the knockout stage as group winners and arrive on a high after a historic 3-1 comeback against New Zealand — their first World Cup win in 92 years. Iran must win to be certain of going through, which will force them forward and leave space. With their fate in their own hands at Lumen Field, Egypt look well placed to take at least a point. Our prediction backs the double chance — Egypt to win or draw.
ChatGPT GPT
by OpenAI
🎯 60/96 (63%) · +20.3% ROI
✓ Won
Pick Under 2.5 goals Total:Under: 2.5 1.48odds
Iran have kept it tight, holding Belgium to a goalless draw, while a cautious Egypt may be content to defend the point that tops the group. With one side built to frustrate and the other happy to manage the game, a tense, low-scoring decider looks likely. The match staying under 2.5 goals reads as the value angle.
Gemini 2.5 PRO
by Google DeepMind
🎯 69/96 (72%) · +18.2% ROI
✓ Won
Pick Iran under 1.5 goals Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 1.23odds
The probabilistic angle leans on Iran's modest output — two goals in two games and a blank against Belgium. Facing an Egypt side that will defend the draw they need, backing Iran to stay under 1.5 goals reflects how hard scoring may prove against an organised, motivated opponent.
DeepSeek R1
by DeepSeek
🏆 77/96 (80%) · +25.5% ROI
✓ Won
Pick Egypt to score Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 1.37odds
The data-driven angle backs Egypt to find the net. Scoring in both group games and carrying momentum from a famous comeback, they should threaten an Iran side forced to commit forward. Tipping Egypt to get on the scoresheet reflects their growing attacking confidence in front of goal.

AI Model Leaderboard

Which model predicts best — graded on finished World Cup matches
  1. 1 DeepSeek 77/96 correct 80%
  2. 2 Claude 73/96 correct 76%
  3. 3 Gemini 69/96 correct 72%
  4. 4 ChatGPT 60/96 correct 63%
Egypt — recent matches
22 Jun 2026 New Zealand 3 — 1 W
15 Jun 2026 Belgium 1 — 1 D
Limited recent international matches
Iran — recent matches
21 Jun 2026 Belgium 0 — 0 D
16 Jun 2026 New Zealand 2 — 2 D
Limited recent international matches

Squad Availability

Injured · Suspended

Egypt

Hossam Abdelmaguid

Iran

No reported absences

Key Players

Egypt
Mohamed Salah RW Liverpool · 100+ caps · 55 G · Captain
Omar Marmoush ST Man City · 30+ caps · 12 G
Mostafa Mohamed ST Nantes · 30+ caps
Mohamed Elneny CM Al-Jazira · 100+ caps
Iran
Mehdi Taremi ST Inter Milan · 90+ caps · 50 G
Sardar Azmoun ST Shabab Al-Ahli · 80+ caps · 50 G
Alireza Jahanbakhsh RW Heerenveen · 80+ caps
Ehsan Hajsafi LB AEK Athens · 130+ caps · Captain

Injuries

Egypt
None reported
Iran
None reported

Venue · Context

Stadium: Lumen Field
Capacity: 68,000
Seattle's June climate is the mildest on the US slate (18–22°C, low humidity) and the venue is famous for its acoustics — crowd noise is the bigger factor than weather.

Suspensions

Egypt
None reported
Iran
None reported

Other Group G matches

Team’s other matches

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